Brexit (UK referendum on European Union), etc.

By Diliff - Own work, CC BY-SA 3.0,
The hemicycle of the European Parliament. Photo: Diliff/CC BY-SA 3.0 via Wikimedia

Citizens of the United Kingdom vote tomorrow today* on Brexit, the referendum on whether Britain should leave Europe. The impact, no matter which way the vote goes, is already global.

We’ll have a wrapup on the weekend. Meantime, here are some suggestions of where to follow the breaking news:

In case you missed it:

Here’s F&O’s International Affairs analyst Jonathan Manthorpe’s take on Brexit, from June 11, and an academic’s analysis last month on forecasts.

Small Stampede for the Brexit, by Jonathan Manthorpe, F&O, column

It is unlikely that Britons are going to give a conclusive answer to the question whether they should remain in the European Union or leave it when they mark their referendum ballots on June 23.

Which Brexit forecast is trustworthy? by Nauro Campos, Brunel University London.

At one extreme, Economists for Brexit predict that the main economic consequence of Brexit is that UK incomes in 2030 will be about 4% higher. In the middle, studies suggest UK incomes by 2030 will be will be unaffected. And At the other extreme, various studies (including the Treasury, the LSE, the OECD, and the National Institute for Economic and Social Research reports) indicate substantial losses to the UK economy, of about 7% by 2030. How does one think this through? An economist offers suggestions.

Our new works in the past week:

Last but not least, recommended: a Finding:

*updated/edited June 23


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